{"id":345931,"date":"2025-03-14T14:17:08","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T07:17:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/unair.ac.id\/economic-experts-examine-annual-deflation-impact-on-indonesias-economy\/"},"modified":"2025-03-17T09:10:16","modified_gmt":"2025-03-17T02:10:16","slug":"economic-experts-examine-annual-deflation-impact-on-indonesias-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/unair.ac.id\/en\/economic-experts-examine-annual-deflation-impact-on-indonesias-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic experts examine annual deflation impact on Indonesia’s economy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

UNAIR NEWS<\/strong> \u2013 For the first time in over two decades, Indonesia has experienced an annual deflation rate of 0.09 percent. According to the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), this phenomenon has been driven by multiple factors, including electricity tariff reductions and falling prices of key food commodities such as rice, tomatoes, and red chilies.<\/p>\n\n

Deflation data<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n

An economic expert from the Faculty of Economics and Business 51动漫 (UNAIR<\/a>), Prof. Dr. Sri Herianingrum, SE, MSi, stated that this deflationary trend signals a potential economic slowdown. Based on BPS data, monthly deflation reached 0.76 percent in January 2025 and 0.48 percent in February 2025.<\/p>\n\n

\u201cThe data for March is pending release in April, particularly given the impact of Ramadan, which typically drives inflation. For comparison, inflation during Ramadan was recorded at 0.16 percent in 2023, increasing to 0.52 percent in 2024,\u201d she explained.<\/p>\n\n

Market oversupply<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n

According to Prof. Herianingrum, the current market conditions indicate an oversupply of several primary commodities, including cooking oil and eggs. This surplus has resulted in significant price drops as demand fails to keep pace with supply.<\/p>\n\n

\u201cFor instance, the price of eggs, which peaked at IDR 29,000 per kilogram in December 2024, plummeted by approximately 30 percent after the New Year. The decline in consumer purchasing power is particularly evident in traditional markets, which are typically bustling ahead of iftar but are now noticeably quieter compared to previous years,\u201d she noted.<\/p>\n\n

\"\"
An economic expert from the Faculty of Economics and Business 51动漫 (UNAIR), Prof. Dr. Sri Herianingrum, SE, MSi (Photo: By courtesy)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n
Economic risks<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n

Prolonged deflation reflects a sharp decline in demand, potentially stalling economic growth. As purchasing power weakens, economic transactions decline, making it more challenging for producers to sell goods. This could ultimately lead to reduced production and even workforce reductions. If this trend persists, deflation may serve as a critical warning for the government to implement immediate strategic interventions.<\/p>\n\n

Government policies<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n

From a policy standpoint, Prof. Herianingrum emphasized the need for well-calibrated monetary and fiscal strategies. Monetary policies could focus on expanding the money supply, such as through interest rate reductions to stimulate activity in the real sector.<\/p>\n\n

\u201cMeanwhile, fiscal policies should aim to strengthen consumer purchasing power and support micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs). The government must also ensure that investments directly contribute to economic recovery rather than placing additional strain on the national budget,\u201d she stated.<\/p>\n\n

Prof. Herianingrum also noted that post-election uncertainty has influenced consumer spending behavior, with many individuals choosing to delay expenditures due to financial constraints or concerns about future economic conditions. As a result, more aggressive stimulus policies are necessary to reinvigorate economic activity and restore public confidence in the market. <\/p>\n\n

Author: Rosali Elvira Nurdiansyarani<\/p>\n\n

Editor: Khefti Al Mawalia<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

UNAIR NEWS \u2013 For the first time in over two decades, Indonesia has experienced an annual deflation rate of 0.09 percent. According to the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), this phenomenon has been driven by multiple factors, including electricity tariff reductions and falling prices of key food commodities such as rice, tomatoes, and red chilies. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":345853,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,50,88],"tags":[178,168],"class_list":["post-345931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-experts","category-news-en-2","category-news-feb-en","tag-unair-en","tag-universitas-airlangga-en"],"yoast_head":"\nEconomic experts examine annual deflation impact on Indonesia's economy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"For the first time in over two decades, Indonesia has experienced an annual deflation rate of 0.09 percent.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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