{"id":399767,"date":"2026-05-08T10:04:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T03:04:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/unair.ac.id\/uaes-exit-from-opec-raises-geopolitical-and-energy-stability-concerns-says-unair-lecturer\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T14:59:51","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T07:59:51","slug":"uaes-exit-from-opec-raises-geopolitical-and-energy-stability-concerns-says-unair-lecturer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/unair.ac.id\/en\/uaes-exit-from-opec-raises-geopolitical-and-energy-stability-concerns-says-unair-lecturer\/","title":{"rendered":"UAE\u2019s exit from OPEC raises geopolitical and energy stability concerns, says UNAIR lecturer"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

UNAIR NEWS<\/strong> \u2013 The decision by the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has attracted global attention amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The move comes as ongoing regional conflicts and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to disrupt the stability of global energy markets.<\/p>\n\n

Fadhila Inas Pratiwi, a lecturer in International Relations at the Faculty of Social and Political Sciences (FISIP) 51动漫<\/a>, said the UAE\u2019s withdrawal from OPEC marks a significant policy shift closely tied to the country\u2019s national interests. She explained that the UAE is seeking greater autonomy in shaping its energy policies without being constrained by the organization\u2019s regulations.<\/p>\n\n

UAE\u2019s national interests<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n

Pratiwi explained that OPEC was initially established as a cooperative platform for oil-producing nations to counterbalance the influence of Western countries in the global energy market. However, increasingly complex geopolitical conditions in the Middle East have led some member states to reassess the organization\u2019s relevance and effectiveness.<\/p>\n\n

She noted that regional conflict and political instability have made participation in international organizations less uniformly beneficial for member countries. \u201cIn the UAE\u2019s case, domestic economic priorities and national energy strategies are viewed as more urgent than preserving organizational solidarity,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"
Fadhila Inas Pratiwi, a lecturer in International Relations at the Faculty of Social and Political Sciences (FISIP) 51动漫 (Photo: By courtesy)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n

She added that the UAE\u2019s departure could weaken OPEC\u2019s internal cohesion. As one of the world\u2019s leading oil producers, the UAE holds substantial production capacity capable of influencing global oil supply levels. Without OPEC production quotas, the country would gain greater flexibility to expand output based on its own national interests.<\/p>\n\n

Pratiwi stated that the UAE currently produces around 4.85 million barrels of oil per day and aims to raise its production capacity to 5 million barrels per day by 2027. \u201cThe increase in output could place downward pressure on global oil prices over the medium term,\u201d she explained.<\/p>\n\n

Implications for Indonesia and global energy market<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n

Pratiwi said the UAE\u2019s withdrawal could contribute to greater long-term volatility in global oil prices. Increased production from the UAE may drive prices lower, although short-term effects are still likely to be moderated by the dominance of major producers such as Saudi Arabia and ongoing tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n\n

She explained that the situation could also affect net oil-importing countries such as Indonesia. Fluctuations in global energy prices may place pressure on national economic stability through higher energy import costs and rising inflation.<\/p>\n\n

According to Pratiwi, the situation underscores the importance of strengthening Indonesia\u2019s national energy resilience. \u201cIndonesia needs to accelerate energy diversification and reduce its dependence on oil imports to safeguard long-term economic stability,\u201d she concluded.<\/p>\n\n

Author: Maia Chaerunnisa<\/p>\n\n

Editor: Yulia Rohmawati<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

UNAIR NEWS \u2013 The decision by the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has attracted global attention amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 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